A Portfolio Risk Analysis of Aging U.S. Dams in a Changing Climate
January 31, 2023 12:00 pm (Central Time)
Recorded VCO
Abstract
U.S. dams are threatened by age-induced fragility and increased hydrologic stresses due to climate change. In many cases, communities and infrastructure below the dams have also increased dramatically over time, increasing the exposure to dam failure. Given that there are over 90,000 such dams in the United States, a traditional approach to dam risk assessment is challenging to implement. Our I-GUIDE project is taking an integrated approach to the application of "big data" sources so that a national or portfolio risk assessment of these assets can be attempted for the first time. This includes a spatially specific analysis of the climate changes of concern, of what is likely to be impacted if the dams fail, of the cascading effects of those failures on the national economy and other critical infrastructure elements, and the potential resilience of the infrastructure systems given the governance at different levels. The application of machine learning tools, statistical inference, natural language processing and the geo-hypercube together with traditional physics based and economics models is illustrated.
Speakers
Dr. Upmanu Lall
Columbia University
Director of the Columbia Water Center and the Alan & Carol Silberstein Professor of Engineering, Columbia University
Dr. Jinwoo Park
University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign
Postdoctoral Research Associate at the CyberGIS Center, University of Illinois
Mr. Adam Tonks
University of Illinois-Urbana Champaign
Ph.D. Student in Statistics, University of Illinois
Dr. Jeongwoo Hwang
North Carolina State University
Postdoctoral Research Scholar, Civil, Construction, and Environmental Engineering, North Carolina State University